Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 96786.866543 102019.209387 107246.982201 112858.630755 118708.277708 124622.697628 131051.028610
2025-09-21 87788.802800 95768.059827 103959.857893 112987.880847 122647.504728 132662.254803 143819.263914
2025-09-28 81361.568911 91209.825919 101539.507463 113160.317738 125847.384268 139255.885734 154475.886178
2025-10-05 77531.530924 88902.610696 101042.378190 114931.371997 130344.867428 146888.572037 165950.219676
2025-10-12 74263.092308 86859.470871 100516.773138 116371.832167 134216.972827 153625.683461 176274.617626
2025-10-19 71092.484103 84664.710966 99587.713707 117141.695997 137150.066605 159169.455624 185156.066068
2025-10-26 67958.678865 82304.159255 98283.936631 117310.819837 139250.916134 163657.406293 192757.705925
2025-11-02 65356.404669 80399.049637 97358.729527 117779.916352 141579.581701 168316.077558 200492.659346
2025-11-09 62741.359001 78342.499446 96135.023055 117787.730610 143277.048551 172177.062357 207261.500517
2025-11-16 61035.977281 77268.485474 95977.515298 118967.831646 146280.171604 177507.368381 215716.467050
2025-11-23 58777.092155 75430.862582 94826.922303 118890.645324 147735.530331 180985.698909 221982.977191
2025-11-30 57556.187023 74788.324696 95049.479748 120405.247686 151045.577332 186625.898321 230798.376019
2025-12-07 56095.354178 73814.721485 94849.765974 121404.765649 153755.609034 191599.282285 238904.234253
2025-12-14 54284.710858 72344.061484 93990.375990 121556.580605 155411.794356 195305.231981 245511.245751
2025-12-21 52605.285340 70975.115527 93200.219220 121742.923857 157070.875444 198991.804862 252091.925151
2025-12-28 51861.327840 70752.113786 93800.137905 123623.735753 160793.874723 205175.918547 261717.049141
2026-01-04 51000.309471 70342.126308 94135.921497 125152.805859 164072.751719 210826.321599 270721.604024
2026-01-11 49858.865720 69528.906048 93927.906707 125969.893077 166448.776097 215369.025901 278387.837210
2026-01-18 48488.165611 68372.399160 93243.763910 126149.383445 168001.183291 218885.552325 284796.381292
2026-01-25 47329.396982 67455.899364 92832.984882 126647.197239 169933.032373 222862.971691 291782.896695
2026-02-01 46013.989532 66291.556735 92066.113481 126655.490091 171220.038314 226025.238410 297758.885096
2026-02-08 45291.864810 65894.770422 92275.530490 127907.735467 174084.109061 231164.151545 306225.396090
2026-02-15 44045.690952 64755.452624 91480.569627 127825.834544 175217.311387 234117.793379 311954.937906